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mercredi 15 juin 2011

Reflagging the Euro

Source: Zerohedge

Positionnement des retail traders - 15/06/11

Le Misery Index en Grèce via Zerohedge

 Version (FR)
              "A day ahead of the general Greek strike coupled with major Parliament blockade protest, it is useful to remember just why it is that Greeks are so pissed. Well, besides the obvious increase in the retirement age from 61 of course. So below it is in chart format. While we previously presented the UK "misery index" which back in March hit a 20 year high for the first time, here is the same appropriately titled index for Greece. And if the UK is at a 2 decade "misery" high, then Greece is roughly at a 10 billion year high. It really may all be uphill from here... Unless of course the Greek population decides it is happy with the status quo. "

mardi 14 juin 2011

Représentation graphique de la crise de 1929 aux US, 1990 au Japon et 2000 aux US.

Ce graphique met en avant l'extraordinaire corrélation depuis 11 ans entre trois crises bien différentes. Si l'on croit en cette corrélation passée, les prochains mois devraient être un vrai bain de sang. A suivre.

Google - Update

Bien que le titre Google est cassé un des ses supports selon Bespokeinvest, nous avons clôturer notre position short sur ce titre pour nos abonnés aux SERVICES PREMIUM en fin d'après-midi avec un gain de 13.4%. Le potentiel de baisse sur le court terme nous semble aujourd'hui limité. Nous sommes Neutre désormais sur la valeur et restons globalement vendeur sur les valeurs US.

Source du graphe: Bespokeinvest

Olivier Delamarche - 14 juin 2011 - BFM Business

Positionnement des retail traders 14/06/11

vendredi 3 juin 2011

Le Trésor continue de puiser dans les retraites des fonctionnaires afin de pouvoir lever 66 milliards de dollars via de nouvelles émissions obligataires

Version FR

"Today, very quietly, the Treasury released its latest refunding announcement, in which it disclosed it would issue another $66 billion in 3, 10 and 30 Year notes next week. The irony of course is that the US is and continues to be at its debt ceiling limit (or just $25 million short of it), at a total of $14,293,975 million. Furthermore, as was also disclosed by the Treasury, this gross issuance will also be the net amount added in marketable debt, as upon settlement on June 15, there will be no redemptions of maturing bonds. Which simply means that the continued "disinvesting" (which is merely a polite word for plundering) from intragovernmental debt, also known as retirement accounts, is about to kick into high gear. As a reminder, the only solution that Geithner currently has to run the government, at least until August 2 when even this runs out, is to slowly drain the debt in non-marketable accounts, in the form of Suspension of G-Fund and ESF reinvestments, as well as the Redemption and suspension of of CSRDF Investments, measure which when combined will provide a short-term buffer of $232 billion. Yet for all practical purposes, what is happening is that retirement accounts are now being seriously plundered, and if the unthinkable were to happen, and the debt ceiling would not rise, not only would the US be in technical default, but various retirement funds, which already are underfunded, would find themselves even more severely in the Red. As the chart below shows, the total amount of intragovernmental debt currently outstanding, has dropped to levels last seen in early April, even as total debt has continued its steadfast move higher. The scary thing is that by the time August 2 rolls around, the current total of $4.608 trillion in various Trust Funds, will drop to well about $4.4 trillion, or an implicit 6% underfunding in 2 months merely to keep the bloated government operating for a few more months. "

"Of course if everything turns out fine, these disinvestments will be promptly reversed as the Treasury doubles down on its borrowing spree to fund the retirement accounts that currently are being pillaged. For the sake of all government worker retirees, we hope this is the final outcome. "

Source: Zerohedge

Just When You Think It's Safe to Get Back in the Water...

Source: Bespokeinvest

Devises - Positionnement des "retail traders" : 01/06/11